The probability of a 30% U.S. stock market drop in the next year is estimated at 8%, based on options market-derived methodology. Survey and pundit-based crash probabilities are notably higher, but ...

As Wall Street tries to guess what comes next for artificial intelligence juggernauts like NvidiaNVDA, Palantir TechnologiesPLTR, AlphabetGOOGL and AppLovinAPP, and makes other stock market ...

With just a few trading days left this year, 2025 looks to have been another hot year for stocks. The S&P 500 has returned more than 19% since Jan. 1 as of market close on Monday. Barring a year-end ...

Since the 1990s, phases of lagging returns were typically followed by sharp rebounds, often when macro conditions, earnings cycles, or liquidity trends shifted.

The market is up three years in a row, but that doesn't change what the pattern says about 2026. One stock may be a counterintuitively good buy for 2026 even after its big gains in 2025. After three ...

The U.S. stock market has become so concentrated that even broad index funds are no longer well diversified, our columnist says. By Jeff Sommer Jeff Sommer writes Strategies, a weekly column on ...

We finished 2025 with a wide difference in the returns of the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (16% vs 13%). While the “Dow 30” often gets maligned as an obsolete index that gives ...