I ended my last column in this series by mentioning a type of erroneous thinking about probability known as the gambler’s fallacy. Basically, this is the mistaken belief that a series of deviations in ...

In my last column, I left you with a little homework. I hope that you tried to solve the problems, since it is enlightening to see if you can calculate the correct answers. If you didn’t do them, try ...

Sign up for The Media Today, CJR’s daily newsletter. A study by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global ...

In school, we are trained to think that math problems always have one correct answer. But this is not necessarily true for problems dealing with probability, if the method used to reach the described ...

Source: Thunder Bay, Canada. Used with permission of Dan Hunt, MD. Coincidences attract our attention because they seem weird, odd, or unlikely. Their improbability stimulates wonder—“what are the ...