The Fed paper found that Kalshi's markets provide data that's "valuable to both researchers and policymakers." ...

Answers to frequently asked questions about the survey plus links to survey stories and archival data.

The field of economic models and forecasting encompasses the development and application of theoretical, empirical and computational frameworks to predict future economic outcomes. These models range ...

The global economy will suffer only a little from the current tariff turmoil, according to the average economist forecasting major countries. Back in December, world economic growth had been expected ...

Domenico Giannone, an internationally recognized thought leader in econometrics and macroeconomic forecasting, is searching for innovative methods to better understand the complexities of global ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Quantitative Finance Program Director, at Stevens Inst. of Technology This is not a new diagnosis. There is today a hapless ...

It’s officially economic forecast season. As punctual as any holiday tradition, all the gurus polish their crystal balls to reveal their glossy business outlooks for the coming year. Their work is ...